Seasonal drought
The above map shows a seasonal drought outlook from now through November. A forecasted cool October may help current drought areas improve.
While September’s forecast shows warm temperatures, October is expected to be near to slightly cooler than average from the Northern Plains to northern New England.
Parts of the southern Plains may see near- to slightly-cooler-than-average temperatures, especially toward November.
When it comes to the winter weather forecast for the 2018-2019 season, the NOAA has reported that there is a 70 percent chance the U.S. will have an El Niño winter season, meaning early predictions call for a warmer than average winter across the United States.
Based on the early prediction for an El Niño winter, the NOAA has predicted that the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Rockies will all see below average to equal chances of precipitation from October through December.
Conversely, the southern tier of the United States should see an average to above average chance at precipiation.
The Northern Plains should remain average to below average for precipitation.
Again, while precipitation is expected to fluctuate across the country, the El Niño prediction calls for warmer than average temperatures across the entire country from October through December.